A September game against Navy should never be the most
important in school history. Yet, here we are with UConn football.
The first weekend of the 2016 college football season could
not have started any worse for UConn, who stumbled through a thoroughly uninspiring
last-second win against Maine. Maine might be great this year, but they play
FCS football and were 3-8 in 2015. UConn needs to win that game by more than 3
points.
For all the hand-wringing and disappointment about the
opener – terrible offensive line play, awful defensive lapses, an empty
stadium, the looming feeling of being stuck in the Group of Five – the first
weekend of the 2016 college football season could not have gone any better for
UConn.
That all starts with Navy, who thrashed Fordham in week one
but lost its starting quarterback, who in turn was replacing the school’s best
QB (Keenan Reynolds) since Roger Staubach. Vegas has noticed, as the line for
the Navy/UConn game has shifted dramatically toward the Huskies, down from an
opening line of Navy -7.5 to Navy -3.5.
What looked like a terrible loss after the Maine game now
looks eminently winnable. Beating Navy and Maine should not be cause for
celebration at most places. UConn is not most places in football. It’s been a
long, hard, painful slog since Randy Edsall left and UConn made the single
worst coaching hire of the 21st Century.
Is being 2-0 that important? Yes. UConn has gone 2-0 once
since 2008 and it was last year when UConn beat Villanova and Army, then
promptly followed it up with five losses in six games. This could be so much
different.
We don’t need to address the elephant in the room – UConn
needs to impress the Big 12, ACC, Big Ten and/or ESPN. A huge part of that is
ticket sales. How do you sell tickets? You win
football games. UConn has not won many football games.
A win over Navy, though, could be a springboard. Did I
mention how well the opening weekend went for UConn? After Navy, UConn returns
home to face a Virginia team that just got throttled by FCS Richmond and is
clearly already deep into a “tear it down to build it up” year. UConn should
win that game.
Okay, now we’re talking about a 3-0 UConn team – UConn
hasn’t been 3-0 since 2008! – with past, future, and always rival Syracuse
coming to town for the first time since 2011. It’s already a game circled on
every UConn fan’s calendar. It will almost certainly be a sellout, if both
teams were 3-0 or 0-3. Even better, Syracuse is beatable. Yes, they could be
improved, but they are well within UConn’s reach.
Let’s see, four games, four potential wins, could UConn
actually end September undefeated? What would that do for the fan base? What
would that to do about the “narrative” that UConn football stinks? How would
that play in the Big 12 offices?
This is where I reveal why Navy – and all the subsequent
games – are so important. UConn ends the month by traveling to Houston for a
Thursday night primetime showdown on ESPN. Houston is already ranked #6 and
should remain in the Top 10 when UConn rolls into town. Houston is by far, by
an order of magnititude UConn’s toughest opponent. Still, UConn beat Houston
with a
backup quarterback last year.
Can you see it? Can you see the ESPN hype?
Undefeated Houston hosting the only team that’s beaten them
in two years and, oh by the way, they’re undefeated too with 2 wins over ACC
teams. It’s the type of game that not only puts UConn on the map, but also
solidifies the AAC as the top Group of Five conference. Like in 2006 and the
Big East’s big Thursday night games, it could be the catalyst for the AAC to be
taken seriously as a football conference on the same level of Power Five
conferences.
Am I getting ahead of myself? You damn right I am. That’s
the beauty of sports. And it’s the beauty of having everything fortuitously
fall into place.
Houston had to beat Oklahoma. Navy needed to show
vulnerability. Virginia had to show it sucked. Syracuse had to, well, just be
Syracuse.
Walking out of the Rent following the Maine game, I would
have slapped anyone who said, “UConn should be 4-0 when it plays Houston.” Yet
just a week later, I’m saying the exact same thing.
It all hinges on Navy. Sure, UConn should still beat
Virginia and could still beat Syracuse and enter the Houston game at a
respectable 3-1. It’ll be a fun storyline with the revenge factor. It wouldn’t,
however, move the needle.
An undefeated UConn facing an undefeated Top 10 Houston in a
revenge game would definitely move the needle. That, in a nutshell, is what the
Big 12 is looking for. Fans can spout garbage about attendance or market sizes
or apparel contracts. The Big 12, and any Power Five conference, wants to add a
school that moves the needle in football.
Right now, Houston is moving the needle in football. If
UConn wants to rejoin the big leagues, they need to start moving the needle in
football again. It won’t happen with a win over Navy on Saturday – but it
cannot happen without a win.
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