It all ends on January 1, 2016.
That will be the day that the Rose Bowl game will happen
and, for the first time in its illustrious history, no one will give a shit. It
will take place the day after that season’s two playoff games.
Could you imagine if the
NIT final was held the Sunday after the Final Four?
The positioning of the bowls in the New Year’s Six
illuminates everything that is wrong about the four-team playoff.
You thought the BCS was bad? This
is even worse.
New Year’s Day was traditionally the end of the college
football season. The BCS messed that up so bad that the NHL – yes,
hockey – was able to carve out an audience with the Winter Classic.
Understandably unhappy with that development, the new college football playoff
aimed to reclaim New Year’s Day.
As the 2014-15
bowl schedule reveals, the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl will host the
playoff games on New Year’s Day after the other major bowls are played, with
three on New Year’s Eve. It builds to a crescendo. It makes sense.
The trouble comes in the other two years in the three-year
cycle. The Rose Bowl, with its tradition and money, didn’t want to leave its
New Year’s afternoon slot. It would seem to make sense, to keep building to
that crescendo, to have one playoff game on New Year’s Eve night and one on New
Year’s night after the Rose Bowl.
But the SEC and the Big 12 felt slighted. Like a silver
spoon child throwing a temper tantrum, they created their own “Champions
Bowl” – now the Sugar Bowl – that will almost never consist of any league
champions. The result? A semifinal game on Dec. 31, 2015, will kick off at 4:30
p.m., or 1:30 p.m. in California, where a good deal of Americans will still be
at work.
It is the definition of stupidity. It is the work of a
cartel circling the wagons to ensure all the money stays within the cartel. It
is a continuation of the work the BCS started except under a better name that
has suckered college football fans into cheering its arrival.
The absurdity reached new heights when SEC commissioner Mike
Slive announced a “new” scheduling philosophy for his conference. That included
the exact same conference schedule setup and the “mandate” that SEC teams play
one team from another Power Five conference.
He literally announced nothing.
But it did not stop moronic
sportswriters from carrying his water. The SEC teams will still not play
five of its conference mates. They can still play three cupcakes at home. Teams
like Alabama will still never leave the South, accepting million-dollar
contracts for neutral site games in
lieu of road trips to East Lansing.
Do you realize college football has had a playoff since
1998? It was a two-team playoff. It was the literal definition of a playoff as
only two teams advanced after the regular season concluded.
And you know what? It actually worked, for the most part, in
the playoff aspect. In its last five years, there were four controversy-free
BCS Title Games. In fact, the only controversial game was in 2011 because of
dumb luck – the best two teams happened to share the same division and played
in the regular season.
In the great irony of ironies, what caused that controversy
was the rematch aspect. You know what is far more likely to happen? You guessed
it – rematches. It could’ve happened in 2010 with Stanford and Oregon. In 2008,
the semifinals would have been two rematches in Oklahoma/Texas and
Alabama/Florida. In 2012, Stanford likely would’ve played Notre Dame again.
Just last year, Alabama/Auburn would’ve played again.
Let me make myself very clear – I am glad
the BCS is gone. But I want
a 16-team playoff. I don’t want this farce of a four-team playoff that has
arrived.
How will teams be selected? Who knows? Strength
of schedule has been touted constantly but the SEC and others seem intent
on limiting nonconference exposure. There has been discussion about the
much-disdained “eye test” about selecting teams, which seems to go against
using data points. Conference champions will be given “weight” as if that
subjective term is objective enough to matter.
The selection committee was supposed to act in lieu of polls
that slotted teams improperly based on only some on-field results. These
rankings were rigid, based on preseason perceptions, and prevented movement. The hope – the assumption? – was that this would be a thing of the past and
college football would emulate college basketball.
Instead, the selection committee will release
rankings weekly during the season.
So we traded the BCS rankings, a poll of more than 150
people and computers, for the College Football Playoff rankings, which is a
poll of only 13 people.
This is better how?
All of this is before we discuss how the Power Five now rule
the sport thanks to its bottom line. The other five conferences – the
AAC, Mountain West, Sun Belt, Conference USA and MAC – have zero chance to
play for a national title. Maybe they didn’t before, but now it’s set in stone.
The other bowl matchups were set up to box
out the other five from getting an opportunity to play a “big boy” in the
postseason. It does not help the Big 12 when its champ gets blown out by UCF.
It shows how badly the BCS messed everything up that the system
that replaced it, which is even worse, can get a free pass from fans and media
alike.
They are so excited to see extra games that mean something
that they are willing to forgive, well, everything.
It’s okay because those who run college football haven’t
figured it out yet. On January 1, 2016, they will. They tried to have their
cake and eat it too. They are trying to maintain an outdated bowl system while compromising
to give the fans a playoff.
The fans want a true playoff. They watch the bowls because
they are there. They’d rather watch a playoff.
Once Pandora’s box is opened, it cannot be closed. Once fans
get a taste for playoffs, they’ll want more. If Alabama won’t visit Michigan
State in September, maybe they’ll be forced to do so in December.
Everything is driven by money. The windfall from this farce
of a four-team playoff is only a tiny speck of what could be made from a
16-team playoff.
Could you even imagine? ESPN pays $130 million per Monday
Night Football game. A college football playoff would consist of 15 games, all
of which would outdraw all but the best Monday Night Football games.
ESPN pays more
than $1 billion every single year for Monday Night Football. What would it
pay for a 16-team playoff? What would Fox pay? What would NBC? What would a
combined bid from, say, ESPN and CBS net? Is it now reasonable to think a
16-team college football playoff would be worth $2 billion every year?
It is comical, to say the least, to hear college athletic
directors wonder about
the affect unions and paying athletes would have on the bottom line when
there is literally billions of dollars being left on the table every year.
Thankfully, money always wins.
The four-team playoff will be a great success in Year 1. The
playoff games will do great ratings. But in year 2, ESPN will start to question
why it’s wasting a playoff game on New Year’s Eve afternoon, as ratings for the
Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl fall off a cliff.
When the same thing happens in Year 3, as more deserving
teams just miss the cut for a four-team playoff, the grumblings will become
louder.
The four-team college football playoff has a three-year
shelf life.
The four-team playoff will fail.
The 16-team playoff is almost here.
Follow me on Twitter
I dont know if anything could be worse than the BCS
ReplyDeleteDefinitely agree to a point here. Probably changes your view on who you root for. If you like ateam like Ohio State or Alabama, the playoff is great.
ReplyDeleteSeems like you've pegged this so far...
ReplyDelete